Lovington, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

900
FXUS64 KMAF 200644
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
144 AM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 141 AM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

- Very warm to hot temperatures with very low (less than 20%)
  shower/storm chances through the end of the week into the
  weekend and most of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday afternoon)
Issued at 141 AM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

Mid to upper ridging over the Four Corners into SE CO/OK and TX
Panhandles persists through the end of the week. This sets up
northeasterly flow aloft, evident early this morning on IR
satellite imagery in northeast to southwest cloud motion. As core
of ridging remains farther north of the area, so too will warmest
temperatures. However, while highs once again rise to 100F-105F,
95F-100F higher elevations and Permian Basin, they are forecast to
increase into the 105F-110F range not just for the Big Bend but
also the Presidio Valley along the Rio Grande. Despite upslope
southeast flow (breezy at times this afternoon) near the surface,
dew point temperatures will remain below 60F across the area,
keeping heat indices from reaching heat advisory criteria.
However, everyone is still encouraged to take proper heat safety
precautions (take frequent breaks in the shade if outdoors, drink
plenty of water, and don`t leave people or pets unattended in
locked vehicles). Very low (<15%) shower/storm chances are
possible again this afternoon and evening, but mainly over the far
northern SE NM plains and leeward of the Sacramento Foothills.
High-res CAMs do not show more than a few isolated storms at most,
but any storms that do form will pose a risk of brief heavy
rainfall, strong and variable winds, frequent lightning, and small
hail. Lows fall into the 70F-75F range, 75F-80F easternmost and
southernmost parts of the area, and 65F-70F northern Lea County
and much of the higher elevations. Tomorrow, similar high
temperatures and heat risk are expected, with much lower PoPs near
zero. Lows tomorrow night also fall to similar levels as tonight.
Very warm to hot temperatures continue through the weekend into
much of next week. More details in the Long Term Discussion below.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 141 AM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

Mid to upper ridging remains firmly anchored over Four Corners to
Southern High Plains vicinity through next week, maintaining
northeast flow aloft and southerly winds at the surface. The large
scale sinking motion and southerly winds transporting very warm
to hot air into the area will continue the stretch of high
temperatures above 90F everywhere, with large portions of the
lowlands in the 100F-105F range and Big Bend continuously rising
into the 105F-110F range. Dew point temperatures however do not
look to increase significantly above 60F, so heat advisory
criteria being met is not indicated at this time. However,
everyone is still encouraged to take proper heat safety
precautions. Low (10% to 30%) PoPs prevail through the middle of
next week, with coverage, exact timing, and local impacts highly
uncertain at this time. A pattern change with breakdown of ridging
and more zonal flow late next week is hinted at in deterministic
models. Therefore, late week into next weekend, slightly cooler
temperatures and increased PoPs are indicated. As with any
specific details about storms, exact temperature and precipitation
pattern evolution still remains uncertain this far out.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 AM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period. A weak
low-level jet has developed across the Lower Trans Pecos producing
wind gusts up to 25 kts at FST. Sustained winds of 10-15 kts look
to occur at FST, INK, HOB, and MAF over the next couple of hours
as a result. Otherwise, light southerly to southeasterly winds
remain at all terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring              103  75 102  75 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                102  73 101  73 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                  102  75 101  75 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton           100  73  99  73 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           94  70  93  69 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                   101  71 100  71 /   0  10   0   0
Marfa                    96  63  95  63 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport    100  75 100  75 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                  100  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                    102  75 101  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...94
LONG TERM....94
AVIATION...11